Economic Policy Predictions & Odds | Pariflow
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Economic Policy predictions & odds
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Showing All markets sorted by Any time
Fed Rates
Fed
Kevin Warsh
Trump
Macro Indicators
GDP
Parlays
Europe
New Zealand
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?
Vol.
$2.0K
·
0
·
1mo left
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
97%
1 (25 bps)
1%
3 (75 bps)
0%
Vol.
$2.1M
·
72
·
1mo left
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
Hike–Pause–Hike
77%
Hike–Pause–Pause
23%
Other
1%
Vol.
$21.1K
·
0
·
1mo left
US GDP growth in Q4 2026?
1.5% to 2.0%
18%
2.0% to 2.5%
18%
<1.5%
13%
Vol.
$662
·
0
·
2mo left
US recession by end of 2026?
Yes
No
Vol.
$78.1K
·
9
·
2mo left
Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
Pause-Hike-Pause
71%
Pause-Pause-Hike
13%
Pause-Pause-Pause
7%
Vol.
$3.6K
·
0
·
2mo left
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes
No
Vol.
$17.1K
·
0
·
1mo left
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 4.25%
72%
↑ 4.5%
3%
↑ 5.5%
2%
Vol.
$75.5K
·
9
·
1mo left
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
December 31
9%
May 30
0%
Vol.
$17.8K
·
2
·
1mo left
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
4.25%
74%
4.0%
23%
≥ 4.5%
2%
Vol.
$293.9K
·
24
·
1mo left
Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase
79%
No change
21%
50+ bps increase
1%
Vol.
$477.9K
·
0
·
1mo left
GDP growth in 2026
2.0–2.5%
50%
>2.5%
49%
1.5–2.0%
2%
Vol.
$3.6K
·
0
·
2mo left
Fed Decision in January?
No change
73%
25 bps increase
25%
25 bps decrease
2%
Vol.
$4.4K
·
0
·
2mo left
Swiss National Bank decision in December?
No Change
86%
25 bps increase
14%
25 bps decrease
0%
Vol.
$2.7K
·
0
·
1mo left
ECB rate cut in 2026?
Yes
No
Vol.
$1.3K
·
0
·
1mo left
Fed rate cut by...?
June 2027 Meeting
50%
April 2027 Meeting
32%
July 2027 Meeting
21%
Vol.
$153.5K
·
4
·
2mo left
