Fed Rates Predictions & Odds | Pariflow
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Fed Rates predictions & odds
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Fed
Economic Policy
Kevin Warsh
Trump
Treasuries
Macro Indicators
Courts
Parlays
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
Vol.
$21.1K
·
0
·
1mo left
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
4.25%
74%
4.0%
23%
≥ 4.5%
2%
Vol.
$293.9K
·
24
·
1mo left
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 4.9%
90%
Below 4.8%
62%
Below 4.7%
44%
Vol.
$17.0K
·
0
·
1mo left
Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase
78%
No change
22%
50+ bps increase
1%
Vol.
$477.9K
·
0
·
1mo left
Fed rate cut by...?
July 2027 Meeting
51%
April 2027 Meeting
38%
June 2027 Meeting
33%
Vol.
$153.5K
·
4
·
2mo left
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 4.70%
91%
Below 4.65%
80%
Below 4.60%
61%
Vol.
$15.2K
·
0
·
1mo left
How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.05%
39%
5.10%
29%
5.15%
19%
Vol.
$8.9K
·
0
·
1mo left
How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 5.25%
87%
Below 5.20%
70%
Below 5.15%
55%
Vol.
$7.1K
·
0
·
1mo left
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
December 31
9%
May 30
0%
Vol.
$17.8K
·
2
·
1mo left
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
97%
1 (25 bps)
1%
3 (75 bps)
0%
Vol.
$2.1M
·
72
·
1mo left
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 4.25%
72%
↑ 4.5%
3%
↑ 5.5%
2%
Vol.
$75.5K
·
9
·
1mo left
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes
No
Vol.
$17.1K
·
0
·
1mo left
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?
December 31, 2026
2%
June 30, 2026
0%
Vol.
$12.8K
·
0
·
1mo left
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.4%
22%
5.5%
11%
5.7%
6%
Vol.
$42.6K
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1
·
1mo left
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.70%
17%
5.80%
9%
6.00%
6%
Vol.
$10.4K
·
0
·
1mo left
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Yes
No
Vol.
$8.8K
·
0
·
1mo left
