Peace Deal Predictions & Odds | Pariflow
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Peace Deal predictions & odds
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Volume
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Showing All markets sorted by Any time
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
Vol.
$851.1K
·
16
·
1mo left
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
99%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate
1%
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate
0%
Vol.
$8.8K
·
0
·
6d left
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?
March 31
16%
December 31
6%
June 15
1%
Vol.
$56.3K
·
0
·
1mo left
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
March 31
64%
December 31
40%
November 30
22%
Vol.
$1.9M
·
22
·
1mo left
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Yes
No
Vol.
$67.1K
·
2
·
1mo left
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 31
7%
October 31
0%
August 31
0%
Vol.
$744.7K
·
11
·
1mo left
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Kazem Gharibabadi
55%
Nick Stewart
34%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
29%
Vol.
$77.3K
·
2
·
1mo left
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
December 31, 2027
37%
June 30, 2027
21%
March 31, 2027
14%
Vol.
$365.1K
·
8
·
1mo left
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
December 31
31%
November 30
17%
August 31
3%
Vol.
$143.0K
·
1
·
1mo left
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
Yes
No
Vol.
$11.4K
·
0
·
1mo left
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?
December 31, 2026
38%
November 30, 2026
25%
September 24, 2026
14%
Vol.
$42.0K
·
0
·
1mo left
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Dilution of Iran's Uranium
19%
Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)
16%
1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium
14%
Vol.
$45.9K
·
0
·
1mo left
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
99%
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate
0%
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate
0%
Vol.
$16.1K
·
0
·
6d left
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
December 31
36%
November 30
23%
November 6
2%
Vol.
$132.8K
·
1
·
1mo left
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?
December 31
25%
October 31
0%
September 23
0%
Vol.
$25.4K
·
0
·
1mo left
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?
No Meeting by December 31
62%
Qatar
12%
Switzerland
6%
Vol.
$8.6K
·
0
·
1mo left
Geopolitics
Iran
U.S. x Iran
Trump
Iran Ceasefire
Middle East
Oil
Strait of Hormuz
Nuclear
Israel x Iran
US-Iran
Midterms
