Market overview
The outcomes break “What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?” into 6 separately evaluated possibilities.
The listed possibilities are Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year), 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium, Enriched Uranium Surrender, Dilution of Iran's Uranium, ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year), and Iran Reconstruction Funding.
Each listed possibility follows the qualifying conditions, evidence source, and timing documented in the Resolution Rules below.