Geopolitics Predictions & Odds | Pariflow
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Geopolitics predictions & odds
Range
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Showing All markets sorted by Any time
Iran
Middle East
Israel
Trump
U.S. x Iran
Iran Ceasefire
Iran Regime
Israel Election
Khamenei
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Yes
No
Vol.
$1.7M
·
303
·
1mo left
Iran leadership change by...?
June 30, 2027
27%
December 31
10%
November 30
5%
Vol.
$1.1M
·
25
·
1mo left
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot
55%
Benjamin Netanyahu
28%
Naftali Bennett
5%
Vol.
$3.4M
·
27
·
6d left
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes
No
Vol.
$3.1M
·
54
·
1mo left
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 31
6%
August 31
0%
September 30
0%
Vol.
$1.2M
·
24
·
1mo left
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 2027
10%
March 31, 2027
6%
December 31, 2026
4%
Vol.
$1.3M
·
14
·
1mo left
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
December 31
7%
September 30
0%
August 31
0%
Vol.
$3.1M
·
64
·
1mo left
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei
89%
No Head of State
4%
Alireza Arafi
3%
Vol.
$1.6M
·
36
·
1mo left
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro
90%
Delcy Rodríguez
9%
No Head of State
1%
Vol.
$4.0M
·
824
·
1mo left
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
December 31
2%
May 31
0%
January 31
0%
Vol.
$894.6K
·
12
·
1mo left
Netanyahu out by...?
June 30, 2027
41%
March 31, 2027
29%
December 31
20%
Vol.
$5.0M
·
95
·
1mo left
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 7
100%
October 24
100%
October 16
100%
Vol.
$1.6M
·
8
·
6d left
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Yes
No
Vol.
$1.0M
·
131
·
1mo left
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
July 24
100%
July 25
100%
July 22
100%
Vol.
$1.7M
·
26
·
1mo left
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
March 31
64%
December 31
40%
November 30
22%
Vol.
$1.9M
·
22
·
1mo left
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
December 31
12%
November 30
5%
August 13
0%
Vol.
$851.1K
·
16
·
1mo left
Oil
Strait of Hormuz
Military Strikes
