How high will 2-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
Amount
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The contract settles on the range containing the measured result for “How high will 2-year Treasury yield go before 2027?”
The available value bands are 4.75%, 4.80%, 4.85%, 4.90%, 5.00%, 5.10%, 5.20%, 5.30%, 5.40%, 5.50%, and 5.65%.
The exact metric, reference period, source, rounding method, and treatment of range boundaries are documented in the Resolution Rules below.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 2-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date from market creation to December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 2-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for the final business day of 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for the final business day of 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "2 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).