Outage Predictions & Odds | Pariflow
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AI
OpenAI
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GPT
ChatGPT
Geopolitics
Iran
Anthropic
Claude
AWS service disrupted by...?
Vol.
$698
·
0
·
26d left
Critical Discord Incident by...?
November 30
50%
September 30
9%
October 31
3%
Vol.
$818
·
0
·
26d left
Grok (Web) Outage by...?
November 30
52%
October 31
28%
Vol.
$224
·
0
·
26d left
Will Claude go down on __ days in November 2026?
5-7
48%
<5
35%
8-10
16%
Vol.
$44
·
0
·
26d left
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in November 2026?
3
32%
<3
32%
4
19%
Vol.
$34
·
0
·
26d left
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?
December 31
29%
September 30
2%
August 31
1%
Vol.
$19.6K
·
0
·
1mo left
GitHub.com critical incident by...?
November 13
75%
November 6
27%
Vol.
$7
·
0
·
2d left
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
November 30
51%
December 31
48%
October 31
14%
Vol.
$16
·
0
·
26d left
Another Codex outage in 2026?
Yes
No
Vol.
$84
·
0
·
1mo left
Longest GitHub critical incident in November 2026?
6-12 hours
57%
12+ hours
40%
3-6 hours
29%
Vol.
$1
·
0
·
26d left
ChatGPT Full Outage by...?
November 30
32%
August 31
28%
September 30
5%
Vol.
$1.2K
·
0
·
26d left
ChatGPT Outage by...?
November 15
59%
October 31
57%
November 30
51%
Vol.
$50
·
0
·
26d left
Iran Regime
Khamenei
