Congress Predictions & Odds | Pariflow
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Congress predictions & odds
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How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
Vol.
$5.6K
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0
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1mo left
How many Trump vetoes by December 31, 2027?
20-24
38%
10-14
37%
15-19
34%
Vol.
$1.3K
·
0
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1y left
Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?
December 31, 2026
7%
December 31
0%
October 31
0%
Vol.
$22.4K
·
0
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1mo left
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
Yes
No
Vol.
$7.6K
·
0
·
1mo left
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Yes
No
Vol.
$4.1K
·
0
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2y left
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
Yes
No
Vol.
$68.2K
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2
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2mo left
Which bills will become law in 2026?
Export-control chip security
43%
Data center utility cost protection
22%
FISA Section 702 reauthorization
17%
Vol.
$6.7K
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0
·
1mo left
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
Democrats 12-14%
75%
Democrats 14-16%
13%
Democrats 10-12%
3%
Vol.
$12.4K
·
0
·
6d left
ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?
Not Extended & Democratic Party
100%
Not Extended & Republican Party
0%
Vol.
$16.6K
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1
·
6d left
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
December 31, 2026
21%
September 30, 2026
1%
October 31, 2026
0%
Vol.
$4.9K
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0
·
1mo left
Next Senate Majority Leader?
Chuck Schumer
86%
Brian Schatz
5%
Chris Van Hollen
5%
Vol.
$7.4K
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0
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2mo left
Blue tsunami in 2026?
Yes
No
Vol.
$3.1K
·
0
·
2mo left
Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028
33%
December 31, 2027
21%
June 30, 2027
13%
Vol.
$23.9K
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0
·
1mo left
2026 Midterms: House Turnout
115-120m
29%
110-115m
22%
120-125m
17%
Vol.
$1.8K
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0
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6d left
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
Mark Warner
9%
Catherine Cortez Masto
9%
Thom Tillis
9%
Vol.
$19.8K
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0
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1mo left
Republican Senate seats after the midterms (Lower Brackets)
44
83%
45
15%
46
3%
Vol.
$15.9K
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0
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6d left
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Key Midterm Margins
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