Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by...?
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Each outcome asks whether “Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks?” is satisfied by a different deadline, allowing expectations to be compared across shorter and longer time windows.
The available deadlines are December 31 and June 30.
Each deadline uses the exact qualifying event, source, cutoff time, and time-zone rules documented in the Resolution Rules below.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media.
Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count.
The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.