

The question is whether “Will MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30?” occurs by the stated deadline and under the published conditions.
A Yes outcome requires the stated conditions to be met; No covers the alternative.
The qualifying event, evidence source, cutoff time, and any exceptions are documented in the Resolution Rules below.
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Last 30 days
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Jun 27, 2026 · 6:44pm GMT+3
Dec 1, 2026 · 7:59am GMT+3
Dec 1, 2026 · 8:29am GMT+3
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) reclassifies Indonesia as a Frontier Market at any point by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
An official MSCI announcement of reclassification will be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution, even if such reclassification does not go into effect by the date listed above. Announcements that MSCI is considering or exploring reclassification will not be sufficient to resolve the market.
The resolution source will be official MSCI communication or a consensus of credible reporting.