

Each outcome asks whether “Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain?” is satisfied by a different deadline, allowing expectations to be compared across shorter and longer time windows.
The available deadlines are January 15, 2027, June 30, 2026, January 31, 2027, and December 31, 2026.
Each deadline uses the exact qualifying event, source, cutoff time, and time-zone rules documented in the Resolution Rules below.
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Feb 22, 2026 · 6:19pm GMT+3
Jan 1, 2027 · 7:59am GMT+3
Jan 1, 2027 · 8:29am GMT+3
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spain's Prime Minister, Pedro Sánchez, is removed from power for any length of time between December 2, 2025 and the listed date, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation, is dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Prime Minister of Spain within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.