

The contract compares two alternatives for “Nothing Ever Happens: October?”
The two positions are Nothing and Something.
The condition separating the two outcomes, evidence source, and cutoff time are documented in the Resolution Rules below.
Waiting for trades
Last 30 days
$1.21K
30-day total
$40.27
Daily average
Every trader on this market, last 7 days
—
24h volume, market-wide
Market-wide, by position value
Sep 30, 2026 · 2:34am GMT+3
Nov 11, 2026 · 3:00am GMT+3
Nov 11, 2026 · 3:30am GMT+3
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150 - Bitcoin all time high - Any G7 leader out (Carney, Macron, Merz, Meloni, Takaichi, Burnham, Trump) - US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal - Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire - Putin out as President of Russia - Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president - Fed rate cut - Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed - Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH_Oct_26.pdf