

The question is whether “Pete Hegseth 在 12 月 31 日前离任国防部长??” occurs by the stated deadline and under the published conditions.
A Yes outcome requires the stated conditions to be met; No covers the alternative.
The qualifying event, evidence source, cutoff time, and any exceptions are documented in the Resolution Rules below.
Waiting for trades
Last 30 days
$42.12K+
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Daily average
Every trader on this market, last 7 days
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Market-wide, by position value
5 25, 2026 · 19:40 GMT+3
1 1, 2027 · 07:59 GMT+3
1 1, 2027 · 08:29 GMT+3
如果 Pete Hegseth 在市场创建至指定日期(美国东部时间)之间的任何时间段内不再担任美国国防部长,则本市场将以“是”结算。否则,本市场将以“否”结算。
如果在本市场结束日期前宣布 Pete Hegseth 辞职/被免职,则本市场将立即以“是”结算,无论宣布的辞职/免职何时生效。
本市场的结算来源将是 Pete Hegseth 本人和美国政府的官方信息;但也可能使用可信报道的共识。