Market overview
The outcomes break “Test de vol SpaceX Starship 15 ?” into 7 separately evaluated possibilities.
The listed possibilities are November 15, 2026, Le booster Super Heavy explose ?, Successful splash down?, Les baguettes attrapent Starship ?, 31 octobre 2026, Les baguettes attrapent le booster Super Heavy ?, and 30 novembre 2026.
Each listed possibility follows the qualifying conditions, evidence source, and timing documented in the Resolution Rules below.