This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Andy Beshear
28%
Pete Buttigieg
18%
Rahm Emanuel
18%
Raphael Warnock
16%
Phil Murphy
15%
Mark Kelly
10%
Steve Bannon
9%
Tulsi Gabbard
9%
Gavin Newsom
9%
Glenn Youngkin
7%
Ron DeSantis
7%
Don Lemon
7%
Ted Cruz
7%
Rand Paul
7%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
7%
Elise Stefanik
6%
Gina Raimondo
6%
Josh Shapiro
6%
Brian Kemp
6%
Nikki Haley
5%
Josh Hawley
5%
Hunter Biden
5%
Jon Stewart
5%
Chelsea Clinton
5%
John Thune
5%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
4%
Andrew Yang
4%
John Fetterman
4%
Marco Rubio
4%
Cory Booker
4%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
4%
Tom Brady
4%
George Clooney
4%
Greg Abbott
4%
Tucker Carlson
4%
MrBeast
4%
Donald Trump Jr.
4%
Vivek Ramaswamy
4%
J.D. Vance
4%
Erika Kirk
4%
Tim Walz
4%
Matt Gaetz
4%
Candace Owens
4%
Gretchen Whitmer
4%
J.B. Pritzker
3%
Donald Trump
3%
Hillary Clinton
3%
Wes Moore
3%
Kamala Harris
3%
Kristi Noem
3%
Ivanka Trump
3%
Beto O’Rourke
3%
Jon Ossoff
3%
Liz Cheney
3%
Byron Donalds
3%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
2%
Michelle Obama
2%
Elon Musk
2%
LeBron James
2%
Katie Britt
2%
Stephen A. Smith
2%
Bernie Sanders
2%
Mike Pence
2%
Oprah Winfrey
2%
Jared Polis
2%
Barack Obama
2%
Zohran Mamdani
2%
Roy Cooper
1%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
1%
Mark Cuban
1%
Kim Kardashian
1%
Andy Beshear
28%
Pete Buttigieg
18%
Rahm Emanuel
18%
Raphael Warnock
16%
Phil Murphy
15%
Mark Kelly
10%
Steve Bannon
9%
Tulsi Gabbard
9%
Gavin Newsom
9%
Glenn Youngkin
7%
Ron DeSantis
7%
Don Lemon
7%
Ted Cruz
7%
Rand Paul
7%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
7%
Elise Stefanik
6%
Gina Raimondo
6%
Josh Shapiro
6%
Brian Kemp
6%
Nikki Haley
5%
Josh Hawley
5%
Hunter Biden
5%
Jon Stewart
5%
Chelsea Clinton
5%
John Thune
5%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
4%
Andrew Yang
4%
John Fetterman
4%
Marco Rubio
4%
Cory Booker
4%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
4%
Tom Brady
4%
George Clooney
4%
Greg Abbott
4%
Tucker Carlson
4%
MrBeast
4%
Donald Trump Jr.
4%
Vivek Ramaswamy
4%
J.D. Vance
4%
Erika Kirk
4%
Tim Walz
4%
Matt Gaetz
4%
Candace Owens
4%
Gretchen Whitmer
4%
J.B. Pritzker
3%
Donald Trump
3%
Hillary Clinton
3%
Wes Moore
3%
Kamala Harris
3%
Kristi Noem
3%
Ivanka Trump
3%
Beto O’Rourke
3%
Jon Ossoff
3%
Liz Cheney
3%
Byron Donalds
3%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
2%
Michelle Obama
2%
Elon Musk
2%
LeBron James
2%
Katie Britt
2%
Stephen A. Smith
2%
Bernie Sanders
2%
Mike Pence
2%
Oprah Winfrey
2%
Jared Polis
2%
Barack Obama
2%
Zohran Mamdani
2%
Roy Cooper
1%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
1%
Mark Cuban
1%
Kim Kardashian
1%
2028 Presidential Race Odds: Who Will Announce a Run Before 2027?