

Each outcome asks whether “Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico?” is satisfied by a different deadline, allowing expectations to be compared across shorter and longer time windows.
The available deadlines are July 31, 2026, January 31, 2026, June 30, 2026, and December 31, 2026.
Each deadline uses the exact qualifying event, source, cutoff time, and time-zone rules documented in the Resolution Rules below.
Waiting for trades
Last 30 days
$11.88K
30-day total
$396.06
Daily average
Every trader on this market, last 7 days
—
24h volume, market-wide
Market-wide, by position value
Feb 22, 2026 · 6:07pm GMT+3
Jan 1, 2027 · 7:59am GMT+3
Jan 1, 2027 · 8:29am GMT+3
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo announces she is resigning as President of Mexico or otherwise ceases to be President of Mexico for any length of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Claudia Sheinbaum or the Government of Mexico, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.