The outcomes break “¿Prueba de vuelo 15 de Starship de SpaceX?” into 7 separately evaluated possibilities.

The listed possibilities are November 15, 2026, ¿Explota el propulsor Super Heavy?, Successful splash down?, ¿Las chopsticks atrapan Starship?, 31 de octubre de 2026, ¿Las chopsticks atrapan el propulsor Super Heavy?, and 30 de noviembre de 2026.

Each listed possibility follows the qualifying conditions, evidence source, and timing documented in the Resolution Rules below.