

The outcomes break “Insurrection Act invocado por?” into 7 separately evaluated possibilities.
The listed possibilities are September 30, January 31, July 31, June 30, March 31, April 30, and December 31.
Each listed possibility follows the qualifying conditions, evidence source, and timing documented in the Resolution Rules below.
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may 25, 2026 · 19:36 GMT+3
ene 1, 2027 · 7:59 GMT+3
ene 1, 2027 · 8:29 GMT+3
Este mercado se resolverá en "Yes" si Donald Trump oficialmente invoca la Insurrection Act of 1807 antes de la fecha indicada, a las 11:59 PM ET. En caso contrario, se resolverá en "No\).
Para los propósitos de este mercado, "invoke" significa que el Presidente anuncia formalmente el uso de la Insurrection Act como autoridad legal para desplegar fuerzas militares activas de U.S. o federalizar la National Guard en respuesta a desórdenes civiles, insurrección o rebelión.
La fuente de resolución será un consenso de informes creíbles.