Market overview
The outcomes break “SpaceX Starship Flugtest 15?” into 7 separately evaluated possibilities.
The listed possibilities are November 15, 2026, Super Heavy Booster explodiert?, Successful splash down?, Chopsticks fangen Starship?, 31. Oktober 2026, Chopsticks fangen Super Heavy Booster?, and 30. November 2026.
Each listed possibility follows the qualifying conditions, evidence source, and timing documented in the Resolution Rules below.