Market overview
Each outcome asks whether “Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State?” is satisfied by a different deadline, allowing expectations to be compared across shorter and longer time windows.
The available deadlines are December 31, 2026, March 31, 2027, November 30, 2026, November 6, 2026, November 8, 2026, and November 15, 2026.
Each deadline uses the exact qualifying event, source, cutoff time, and time-zone rules documented in the Resolution Rules below.