Jerome Powelljerome-powellEconomyeconomy
The outcomes compare the listed numeric thresholds or ranges for “What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?”
The listed thresholds or ranges are ↓ 0%, ↓ 0.25%, ↓ 0.5%, ↓ 0.75%, ↓ 1.0%, ↓ 1.25%, ↓ 1.5%, ↓ 1.75%, ↓ 2.0%, ↓ 2.25%, ↓ 2.5%, ↓ 2.75%, ↓ 3.0%, ↓ 3.25%, ↑ 4.25%, ↑ 4.5%, ↑ 4.75%, ↑ 5.0%, ↑ 5.25%, and ↑ 5.5%.
The measured value, observation time, source, and treatment of boundary values are defined in the Resolution Rules below.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
The outcomes compare the listed numeric thresholds or ranges for “What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?”
The listed thresholds or ranges are ↓ 0%, ↓ 0.25%, ↓ 0.5%, ↓ 0.75%, ↓ 1.0%, ↓ 1.25%, ↓ 1.5%, ↓ 1.75%, ↓ 2.0%, ↓ 2.25%, ↓ 2.5%, ↓ 2.75%, ↓ 3.0%, ↓ 3.25%, ↑ 4.25%, ↑ 4.5%, ↑ 4.75%, ↑ 5.0%, ↑ 5.25%, and ↑ 5.5%.
The measured value, observation time, source, and treatment of boundary values are defined in the Resolution Rules below.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
↑ 4.25%· $20K | 26% | |
↓ 3.25%· $7K | 9% | |
↑ 4.5%· $5K | 6% | |
↑ 4.75%· $3K | 4% |
↑ 4.25%· $20K | 26% | |
↓ 3.25%· $7K | 9% | |
↑ 4.5%· $5K | 6% | |
↑ 4.75%· $3K | 4% |